Nowcasting US GDP

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Published: 2024-04-28
Notes:

All the 34 variables of input data used in the "Nowcasting Macro Fundamentals with Machine Learning" thesis project.

Series 1 - 34 of 34

Title	Series ID	Units	Freq	Seas Adj	Updated
Advance Retail Sales: Retail Trade and Food Services	RSAFS	Percent Change	M	SA	2026-02-10
All Employees, Total Nonfarm	PAYEMS	Change, Thousands of Persons	M	SA	2026-02-11
Capacity Utilization: Total Index	TCU	Change, Percent	M	SA	2026-01-16
Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers: All Items in U.S. City Average	CPIAUCSL	Percent Change	M	SA	2026-01-13
Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers: All Items Less Food and Energy in U.S. City Average	CPILFESL	Percent Change	M	SA	2026-01-13
Current General Activity; Diffusion Index for Federal Reserve District 3: Philadelphia	GACDFSA066MSFRBPHI	Index	M	SA	2026-01-15
Current General Business Conditions; Diffusion Index for New York	GACDISA066MSFRBNY	Index	M	SA	2026-01-15
Export Price Index (End Use): All Commodities	IQ	Percent Change	M	NSA	2026-02-10
Exports of Goods and Services, Balance of Payments Basis	BOPTEXP	Percent Change	M	SA	2026-01-29
Import Price Index (End Use): All Commodities	IR	Percent Change	M	NSA	2026-02-10
Imports of Goods and Services: Balance of Payments Basis	BOPTIMP	Percent Change	M	SA	2026-01-29
Industrial Production: Total Index	INDPRO	Percent Change	M	SA	2026-01-16
Job Openings: Total Nonfarm	JTSJOL	Change, Level in Thousands	M	SA	2026-02-05
Manufacturers' New Orders: Durable Goods	DGORDER	Percent Change	M	SA	2026-01-29
Manufacturers' Total Inventories: Durable Goods	AMDMTI	Percent Change	M	SA	2026-01-29
Manufacturers' Unfilled Orders: Total Manufacturing	AMTMUO	Percent Change	M	SA	2026-01-29
Manufacturers' Value of Shipments: Durable Goods	AMDMVS	Percent Change	M	SA	2026-01-29
New One Family Houses Sold: United States	HSN1F	Percent Change	M	SAAR	2026-01-13
New Privately-Owned Housing Units Authorized in Permit-Issuing Places: Total Units	PERMIT	Change, Thousands of Units	M	SAAR	2026-01-27
New Privately-Owned Housing Units Started: Total Units	HOUST	Percent Change	M	SAAR	2026-01-09
Nonfarm Business Sector: Unit Labor Costs for All Workers	ULCNFB	Compounded Annual Rate of Change	Q	SA	2026-01-29
Personal Consumption Expenditures: Chain-type Price Index	PCEPI	Percent Change	M	SA	2026-01-22
Personal Consumption Expenditures Excluding Food and Energy (Chain-Type Price Index)	PCEPILFE	Percent Change	M	SA	2026-01-22
Producer Price Index by Commodity: Final Demand	PPIFIS	Percent Change	M	SA	2026-01-30
Real Disposable Personal Income	DSPIC96	Percent Change	M	SAAR	2026-01-22
Real gross domestic income	A261RX1Q020SBEA	Compounded Annual Rate of Change	Q	SAAR	2026-01-22
Real Gross Domestic Product	GDPC1	Compounded Annual Rate of Change	Q	SAAR	2026-01-22
Real Personal Consumption Expenditures	PCEC96	Percent Change	M	SAAR	2026-01-22
Total Business Inventories	BUSINV	Percent Change	M	SA	2026-02-10
Total Construction Spending: Total Construction in the United States	TTLCONS	Percent Change	M	SAAR	2026-01-21
Total Merchant Wholesalers, Except Manufacturers' Sales Branches and Offices Inventories	I42IMSM144SCEN	Percent Change	M	SA	2026-01-29
Total Nonfarm Private Payroll Employment (DISCONTINUED)	NPPTTL	Change, Thousands	M	SA	2022-06-02
Unemployment Rate	UNRATE	Change, Percent	M	SA	2026-02-11
University of Michigan: Consumer Sentiment	UMCSENT	Index 1966:Q1=100	M	NSA	2026-01-23

Series 1 - 34 of 34

Abbreviations

Frequency (Freq)

A = Annual, SA = Semiannual, Q = Quarterly, M = Monthly, BW = Biweekly, W = Weekly, D = Daily, NA = Not Applicable

Seasonal Adjustment (Seas Adj)

SA = Seasonally Adjusted, NSA = Not Seasonally Adjusted, SAAR = Seasonally Adjusted Annual Rate, SSA = Smoothed Seasonally Adjusted, NA = Not Applicable

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