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Recession Indicators

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Published: 2017-11-02
Notes:

Series 1 - 19 of 19   

Title Series ID Vintage
Date 		Units Freq Seas
Adj 		Updated
4-Week Moving Average of Initial Claims IC4WSA 2017-11-02 Number W SA 2019-12-30
Dates of U.S. recessions as inferred by GDP-based recession indicator JHDUSRGDPBR 2017-11-02 +1 or 0 Q NSA 2017-10-27
University of Michigan: Consumer Sentiment (DISCONTINUED) UMCSENT1 2017-11-02 Index 1966:Q1=100 NA NSA 2004-01-12
Chicago Fed National Activity Index: Diffusion Index CFNAIDIFF 2017-11-02 Index M NSA 2017-10-23
Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers: All Items CPIAUCSL 2017-11-02 Index 1982-1984=100 M SA 2017-10-13
University of Michigan: Inflation Expectation MICH 2017-11-02 % M NSA 2017-11-10
Smoothed U.S. Recession Probabilities RECPROUSM156N 2017-11-02 % M NSA 2017-11-01
University of Michigan: Consumer Sentiment UMCSENT 2017-11-02 Index 1966:Q1=100 M NSA 2017-11-22
Civilian Unemployment Rate UNRATE 2017-11-02 % M SA 2017-10-06
Coincident Economic Activity Index for the United States USPHCI 2017-11-02 Jul 1992=100 M SA 2017-10-25
Leading Index for the United States USSLIND 2017-11-02 % M SA 2017-11-02
Moody's Seasoned Aaa Corporate Bond Yield Relative to Yield on 10-Year Treasury Constant Maturity AAA10Y 2017-11-02 % D NSA 2017-11-02
ICE BofAML US Corporate Master Effective Yield BAMLC0A0CMEY 2017-11-02 % D NSA 2017-11-03
Moody's Seasoned Aaa Corporate Bond Yield DAAA 2017-11-02 % D NSA 2017-11-02
Crude Oil Prices: West Texas Intermediate (WTI) - Cushing, Oklahoma DCOILWTICO 2017-11-02 $ per Barrel D NSA 2017-11-01
Effective Federal Funds Rate DFF 2017-11-02 % D NSA 2017-11-02
1-Year Treasury Constant Maturity Rate DGS1 2017-11-02 % D NSA 2017-11-02
Market Yield on U.S. Treasury Securities at 10-Year Constant Maturity, Quoted on an Investment Basis DGS10 2017-11-02 % D NSA 2017-11-02
NBER based Recession Indicators for the United States from the Peak through the Trough USRECDM 2017-11-02 +1 or 0 D NSA 2017-11-02

Series 1 - 19 of 19   

Abbreviations

Frequency (Freq)

A = Annual, SA = Semiannual, Q = Quarterly, M = Monthly, BW = Biweekly, W = Weekly, D = Daily, NA = Not Applicable

Seasonal Adjustment (Seas Adj)

SA = Seasonally Adjusted, NSA = Not Seasonally Adjusted, SAAR = Seasonally Adjusted Annual Rate, SSA = Smoothed Seasonally Adjusted, NA = Not Applicable

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